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Steel Prices Forecast for 2021: See Analysis & Prices

Steel Prices

Introduction

Building with steel is a very popular choice in the world of construction today. With steel, you get a highly durable, long-lasting building material, and one that is often quite simple to construct with. In this article, we’re going to focus on one relevant aspect to your steel construction project – the price of steel.

By now you know that steel prices, along with building design and size, play a large part in determining the cost of your steel building.

While you have some control over this, one thing you cannot influence is the price of steel itself.

Steel prices fluctuate depending on a variety of factors including cost, supply, steel demand and raw materials demand, as well as the current global steel market, tariffs, and trade policies between the US and other countries.

In fact, between November 2015 and 2016, steel prices fluctuated between $380 and $640 per short ton before settling at around $500.

In This Article

In this article, we will cover all these factors and more. We will help you understand global steel prices, steel consumption, and how these factors work to influence the value of steel. Essentially, you will understand the larger forces at play which influence the price of your steel product.

We will frame all this by focusing on the factor most relevant to you – how much you can expect to spend on your steel.

You’ll benefit greatly from learning more about current trends and future forecasts of steel prices, including what affects these costs.

Let’s get right to it.

What’s in this guide?

Steel Prices Forecast

An understanding of the price of steel requires an understanding of the steel market in general, specifically on a global scale. This is much too complicated to fully overview in this article, but we can give a general outline of how it works.

Over the years, world crude steel production has increased rapidly with 1.8 Billion tonnes produced in 2018, according to The World Steel Association.

This was a significant 4.6% increase from the previous year, which alongside current economic growth trends, suggest a positive outlook for future steel production.

What does this mean for steel prices?

Simply put, if the supply of steel increases faster than demand then prices will decrease.

But the reality is never as simple as suggested by economic models.

There are other factors such as climate change initiatives that could easily have a more significant effect than the forces of market supply and demand.

For example, new production methods that are more environment-friendly may be implemented which would help reduce steel’s contribution to climate change.

At the same time, this could increase the associated costs and as a result, spike up steel prices.Basically, the steel market, like the market for any commodity, is not fully predictable. Numerous market forces work to influence the economic activity surrounding steel, and we will outline some of the major ones next.

So what are the factors that influence this change in steel prices?

Let’s find out.

What Affects Steel Prices?

As mentioned above, there are many factors which influence steel prices around the world. Many economic forces work to influence the price of steel. This is why the price of steel, like any commodity price, is impossible to predict with exact precision. However, if we have an understanding of the various forces which act to influence theprice, then we can get a decent understanding of the steel market.

After all, your most likely concern is the actual price of steel, so having this general understanding is good enough for most people’s requirements. Here are many of the top factors which influence the steel market:

Cost of Raw Materials

  • Iron Ore and Scrap Metal are the main components of steel
  • Their prices largely determine the value of producing steel and its price

Since steel goes through its manufacturing and refining process to become usable, the materials involved in this process help determine its amount.

Supply and demand for iron ore and scrap metal determine their prices, which is consequently transferred to steel prices as a cost of production.

Additionally, prices for these raw materials typically fluctuate between seasons depending on when their high and low production seasons are.

Supply and Demand for Steel

  • Industrial Production and Economic Growth are general indicators for essential metals such as steel
  • The US imports steel from significant suppliers like China
  • Supply and demand for steel differs globally, regionally, and locally

Economic growth goes hand-in-hand with increased production and output.

This usually requires more material, such as steel, to cope with the high level of growth.

Therefore, during an economic boom, you can expect to see steel prices increase as demand overtakes supply.

For instance, when China and other Asian economies experienced industry developments in the early 2000s, the demand and price of steel increased. This also caused a global shift in supply and demand from the US to Asia.

Moreover, the import costs of steel also determine its price. If this becomes too high, then demand would decrease which translates into a price reduction.

China alone accounts for about half of the entire world’s steel supply. So it’s safe to say that they have a significant amount of control over import costs.

Global Markets

  • Performance of steel in the commodities market determines its price
  • Investor perception greatly infl